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RiskModels / Stocks / TFPM

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM)

Daily ERM3 factor decomposition: how much of TFPM's variance is explained by the market, its sector, and its subsector — and the ETF notionals that would neutralize each layer.

Price
$32.96
Market cap
$6.8B
23-day vol
39.8%
Sector proxy
XLF
Subsector proxy
IYG

Risk DNA

9% of TFPM's variance is systematic (explainable by market, sector, and subsector factors); the rest is stock-specific.

Market 9.7%Sector 0.2%Subsector 0.0%Stock-specific 90.1%
IYG subsector peers · average of 81 names

TFPM carries 90% stock-specific risk against a peer average of 81% — more of what happens here is specific to this name than is typical for its cohort.

Subsector (-1.4%) covaried negatively with TFPM over this window, offsetting its variance rather than adding to it. Clamped to 0% for the bar and the remaining layers renormalized, so the percentages above sum to 100.

ETF hedge ratios

Dollars of ETF to short per $1 of TFPM held — executable hedge weights, not regression betas. L1 hedges market only; L3 adds sector and subsector layers.

LevelMarket (SPY)Sector (XLF)Subsector (IYG)Explained risk
L1$-1.49——9.8%
L2$-1.49$0.01—10.0%
L3$-1.42$0.25$-0.298.6%

Data as of September 11, 2026. Updated daily from the ERM3 pipeline.

13F filers holding TFPM

From the most recent quarterly 13F filings in our tracked filer universe, largest reported position first.

  • Elliott Investment Management32.3%

Browse every tracked 13F filer.

Go deeper on TFPM

Ask the AI risk analyst for TFPM's full history, peer comparison, or how it changes your portfolio's risk.

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Manager SkillAllocatorsExamplesEvidenceAccessAnalyst
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RiskModels / Stocks / TFPM

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM)

Daily ERM3 factor decomposition: how much of TFPM's variance is explained by the market, its sector, and its subsector — and the ETF notionals that would neutralize each layer.

Price
$32.96
Market cap
$6.8B
23-day vol
39.8%
Sector proxy
XLF
Subsector proxy
IYG

Risk DNA

9% of TFPM's variance is systematic (explainable by market, sector, and subsector factors); the rest is stock-specific.

Market 9.7%Sector 0.2%Subsector 0.0%Stock-specific 90.1%
IYG subsector peers · average of 81 names

TFPM carries 90% stock-specific risk against a peer average of 81% — more of what happens here is specific to this name than is typical for its cohort.

Subsector (-1.4%) covaried negatively with TFPM over this window, offsetting its variance rather than adding to it. Clamped to 0% for the bar and the remaining layers renormalized, so the percentages above sum to 100.

ETF hedge ratios

Dollars of ETF to short per $1 of TFPM held — executable hedge weights, not regression betas. L1 hedges market only; L3 adds sector and subsector layers.

LevelMarket (SPY)Sector (XLF)Subsector (IYG)Explained risk
L1$-1.49——9.8%
L2$-1.49$0.01—10.0%
L3$-1.42$0.25$-0.298.6%

Data as of September 11, 2026. Updated daily from the ERM3 pipeline.

13F filers holding TFPM

From the most recent quarterly 13F filings in our tracked filer universe, largest reported position first.

  • Elliott Investment Management32.3%

Browse every tracked 13F filer.

Go deeper on TFPM

Ask the AI risk analyst for TFPM's full history, peer comparison, or how it changes your portfolio's risk.

Ask the analyst about TFPMAnalyze your portfolio

Local-First Data Policy — Your holdings are resolved locally against our Security Master. Data never leaves your machine.

The Engine
  • Developers
  • API
  • SDK
  • CLI
The Science
  • What's inside
  • Artifact gallery
  • Methodology wiki ↗
  • Glossary
  • ERM3 overview
  • SEC Filing Calendar
  • 13F Filers
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© 2026 RiskModels · Blue Water Macro Corp.|System Status:Operational|Holdings-based.

Informational use only — not investment advice. Blue Water Macro Corp.

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© 2026 RiskModels · Blue Water Macro Corp.|System Status:Operational|Holdings-based.

Informational use only — not investment advice. Blue Water Macro Corp.