Manager SkillAllocatorsExamplesEvidenceAnalyst
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Manager Skill Review · Live example

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC

Where is this manager's return actually coming from — replicable market and sector exposure, or genuine stock selection? Pulled live from the latest 13F and decomposed through the ERM3 cascade. The stock-selection residual is the one component that persists out of sample.

Modeled AUM
$176.5B
Holdings
22
Top-10 weight
98%
As of
2025-12-31
Filed
2026-03-16
Selection signature
Exposure-driven

23% of BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC's risk is stock-specific — the structural read. Stock selection added 6% of the trailing return (which swings with the window). The rest is buyable market, sector, and style exposure — a descriptive read, not a recommendation.

Risk decomposition
70%
23%
▸Key
Market
Sector
Subsector
Stock selection

At a glance

Selection signature
23% of risk
Exposure-driven
Replicable exposure
77%
Mostly buyable
Mandate style
Large Blend
Single-style
Concentration
eff. N 3.9
Concentrated
Peer rank · Mega tier
#34 / 420

Return attribution

AIBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC's +19.1% trailing-year return was led by market beta (+17.5% market); stock selection contributed +1.1%.

LayerDetail1M3M6M1Y
Gross returntotal realized-0.8%+7.3%+15.0%+19.1%
− Marketbroad-market beta+0.1%+2.3%+9.9%+17.5%
− Sectorsector timing+0.9%-0.1%-2.4%

2 · Residual skill score

The stock-selection residual — return left after market, sector, subsector, and style are stripped away. This is the component the research shows persists out of sample (forward Q5−Q1 +2.3pp, t≈3.4), while sector- and style-timing do not.

Stock-selection return+1.1%trailing, gross — residual after market / sector / subsector
Residual risk share49%stock-specific share of portfolio variance
Return from selection6%of gross return this window
Out-of-sample persistence+2.3pp · t≈3.4forward Q5−Q1 across the study cohort — not this manager

Gross ranking signal within mandate; net-of-fee outcomes depend on fees and implementation. Not a claim of net-of-fee outperformance. See the evidence →

4 · Mandate fit

Dominant style
Large Blend
Style concentration (HHI)
0.85
Effective styles
1.2
Effective N (positions)
3.9

5 · Peer context

#34 / 420

In the Mega AUM cohort by aum erm3 (1m).

65% of reported AUM is in the ERM3 model universe; attribution and skill shares cover that sleeve.

Run this on your managers

This is a live example. Send us a roster — 13F managers or your own holdings sleeves — and we'll return a Manager Skill Review and a board-ready IC memo for each. Print or PDF this page for the memo format.

For allocators →The evidence →Request a pilot →

Live data from SEC Form 13F via the RiskModels ERM3 model, filed 2026-03-16. Figures are gross, holdings-derived, and within-mandate. Informational use only — not investment advice.

Local-First Data Policy — Your holdings are resolved locally against our Security Master. Data never leaves your machine.

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Manager SkillAllocatorsExamplesEvidenceAnalyst
Checking session...

Manager Skill Review · Live example

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC

Where is this manager's return actually coming from — replicable market and sector exposure, or genuine stock selection? Pulled live from the latest 13F and decomposed through the ERM3 cascade. The stock-selection residual is the one component that persists out of sample.

Modeled AUM
$176.5B
Holdings
22
Top-10 weight
98%
As of
2025-12-31
Filed
2026-03-16
Selection signature
Exposure-driven

23% of BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC's risk is stock-specific — the structural read. Stock selection added 6% of the trailing return (which swings with the window). The rest is buyable market, sector, and style exposure — a descriptive read, not a recommendation.

Risk decomposition
70%
23%
▸Key
Market
Sector
Subsector
Stock selection

At a glance

Selection signature
23% of risk
Exposure-driven
Replicable exposure
77%
Mostly buyable
Mandate style
Large Blend
Single-style
Concentration
eff. N 3.9
Concentrated
Peer rank · Mega tier
#34 / 420

Return attribution

AIBERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC's +19.1% trailing-year return was led by market beta (+17.5% market); stock selection contributed +1.1%.

LayerDetail1M3M6M1Y
Gross returntotal realized-0.8%+7.3%+15.0%+19.1%
− Marketbroad-market beta+0.1%+2.3%+9.9%+17.5%
− Sectorsector timing+0.9%-0.1%-2.4%

2 · Residual skill score

The stock-selection residual — return left after market, sector, subsector, and style are stripped away. This is the component the research shows persists out of sample (forward Q5−Q1 +2.3pp, t≈3.4), while sector- and style-timing do not.

Stock-selection return+1.1%trailing, gross — residual after market / sector / subsector
Residual risk share49%stock-specific share of portfolio variance
Return from selection6%of gross return this window
Out-of-sample persistence+2.3pp · t≈3.4forward Q5−Q1 across the study cohort — not this manager

Gross ranking signal within mandate; net-of-fee outcomes depend on fees and implementation. Not a claim of net-of-fee outperformance. See the evidence →

4 · Mandate fit

Dominant style
Large Blend
Style concentration (HHI)
0.85
Effective styles
1.2
Effective N (positions)
3.9

5 · Peer context

#34 / 420

In the Mega AUM cohort by aum erm3 (1m).

65% of reported AUM is in the ERM3 model universe; attribution and skill shares cover that sleeve.

Run this on your managers

This is a live example. Send us a roster — 13F managers or your own holdings sleeves — and we'll return a Manager Skill Review and a board-ready IC memo for each. Print or PDF this page for the memo format.

For allocators →The evidence →Request a pilot →

Live data from SEC Form 13F via the RiskModels ERM3 model, filed 2026-03-16. Figures are gross, holdings-derived, and within-mandate. Informational use only — not investment advice.

Local-First Data Policy — Your holdings are resolved locally against our Security Master. Data never leaves your machine.

The Engine
  • API
  • SDK
  • CLI
The Science
  • Methodology
  • ERM3 overview
  • SEC Filing Calendar
Infrastructure
  • Privacy
  • Terms
RiskModelsResearch/Workspace/
-5.4%
− Subsectorindustry timing+0.1%+0.4%+1.0%+6.0%
= Buyable exposurereplicable in ETFs+1.2%+2.6%+8.6%+18.2%
Stock selectionresidual skill · persists OOS-2.0%+4.7%+6.4%+1.1%

Risk attribution

AI23% of the book's risk is stock-specific; the rest is broad-market (70%) and sector exposure.

LayerDetailFullRecent
− Marketbroad-market beta70%36%
− Sectorsector exposure5%10%
− Subsectorindustry exposure2%6%
= Buyable exposurereplicable77%51%
Stock selectionstock-specific risk23%49%
API

© 2026 RiskModels.app|System Status:Operational|Built for the Intelligent Retailer.

Informational use only — not investment advice. Blue Water Macro Corp.

-5.4%
− Subsectorindustry timing+0.1%+0.4%+1.0%+6.0%
= Buyable exposurereplicable in ETFs+1.2%+2.6%+8.6%+18.2%
Stock selectionresidual skill · persists OOS-2.0%+4.7%+6.4%+1.1%

Risk attribution

AI23% of the book's risk is stock-specific; the rest is broad-market (70%) and sector exposure.

LayerDetailFullRecent
− Marketbroad-market beta70%36%
− Sectorsector exposure5%10%
− Subsectorindustry exposure2%6%
= Buyable exposurereplicable77%51%
Stock selectionstock-specific risk23%49%
API

© 2026 RiskModels.app|System Status:Operational|Built for the Intelligent Retailer.

Informational use only — not investment advice. Blue Water Macro Corp.