MSFT (MSFT)

Daily ERM3 factor decomposition: how much of MSFT's variance is explained by the market, its sector, and its subsector — and the ETF notionals that would neutralize each layer.

Price
$390.34
Market cap
$2.91T
23-day vol
35.1%
Sector proxy
XLK
Subsector proxy
IGV

Risk DNA

44% of MSFT's variance is systematic (explainable by market, sector, and subsector factors); the rest is stock-specific.

Market 17.2%Sector 4.6%Subsector 22.1%Stock-specific 56.1%

ETF hedge ratios

Dollars of ETF to short per $1 of MSFT held — executable hedge weights, not regression betas. L1 hedges market only; L3 adds sector and subsector layers.

LevelMarket (SPY)Sector (XLK)Subsector (IGV)Explained risk
L1$-0.7617.2%
L2$-0.19$-0.3621.8%
L3$-0.55$0.30$-0.5643.9%

Data as of June 12, 2026. Updated daily from the ERM3 pipeline.

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