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RiskModels / Stocks / AXP

AXP (AXP)

Daily ERM3 factor decomposition: how much of AXP's variance is explained by the market, its sector, and its subsector — and the ETF notionals that would neutralize each layer.

Price
$335.39
Market cap
$227.4B
23-day vol
30.5%
Sector proxy
XLF
Subsector proxy
IYG

Risk DNA

56% of AXP's variance is systematic (explainable by market, sector, and subsector factors); the rest is stock-specific.

Market 22.5%Sector 33.8%Subsector 0.0%Stock-specific 43.7%

ETF hedge ratios

Dollars of ETF to short per $1 of AXP held — executable hedge weights, not regression betas. L1 hedges market only; L3 adds sector and subsector layers.

LevelMarket (SPY)Sector (XLF)Subsector (IYG)Explained risk
L1$-0.90——22.5%
L2$-0.19$-1.10—56.4%
L3$0.00$-0.41$-0.8456.3%

Data as of July 28, 2026. Updated daily from the ERM3 pipeline.

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Informational use only — not investment advice. Blue Water Macro Corp.