The Analyst
Your portfolio already has a benchmark. You just haven't seen it.
Paste tickers, upload a statement, or try a famous portfolio. One snapshot tells you which factors are doing the work, which positions are doing the talking, and what's left as residual.
Preview · the analyst
DemoA 4-turn exchange on Berkshire's 13F — real decomposition numbers. Sign in to ask about your own book.
Demo conversation — a preview of the AI Risk Analyst on Magnificent Seven. Numbers are real, captured from the snapshot as of 2026-04-21. Request beta access to ask your own questions.
No — under one Technology label, the seven have seven distinct exposure profiles. Idiosyncratic share spans 29% to 63% across the cohort, sorted below by the stock-specific component (the layer a stock-picking mandate is paid for):
| Name | Dominant subsector ETF | Idio share | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| GOOG | FDN | ≈ 63% | Most idiosyncratic — nearly two-thirds is name-specific, not the shared cascade |
| AAPL | RSPT | ≈ 50% | Even split; residual still carries half the budget despite the megacap label |
| MSFT | IGV | ≈ 50% | Same idio share as AAPL, different composition — loads more on the application stack than hardware breadth |
| META | FDN | ≈ 40% | Same sleeve as GOOG, less idio — more co-movement with the shared sleeve |
| AMZN | XRT | ≈ 38% | Mid-pack; diversified operating mix shows up as more factor, less residual |
| TSLA | CARZ | ≈ 33% | Only one-third idiosyncratic — cycle and cap-structure sit mainly in the systematic layers |
| NVDA | SMH | ≈ 29% | Least idiosyncratic — trades like the dominant industry factor; residual is the smallest slice |
The dominant subsector differs for each. A PM targeting semiconductor exposure has a direct instrument pairing (NVDA or SMH). A PM targeting systems-software exposure does not get it from AAPL, AMZN, or NVDA — only from MSFT or IGV. The cascade makes the mapping from thesis to instrument explicit for each position.
Counterintuitive result. The idiosyncratic layer collapses from 46% to 7% as cross-stock correlation diversifies stock-specific risk away. The market layer stays at 41% — systematic risk is not diversifiable within a long-only sector-concentrated book; SPY overlay remains the only instrument that moves it.
The reframe: an equal-weight Mag7 book diversifies away the layer the mandate is paid for. For a PM evaluated on residual return, equal-weighting across the seven hands back the 39pp of idiosyncratic budget that made the individual positions interesting in the first place.
This is the difference between the seven names and the seven names as a book. Holding them individually preserves the stock-picking surface (29–63% of each name's variance). Equal-weighting blends those independent residuals against each other; the cross-correlations cancel out the part you wanted to harvest.
A concentrated allocation to one or two of the names (where you have a specific thesis) keeps the idio exposed. A diversified allocation across all seven turns the cohort into something closer to a sector ETF — which is fine if that's the thesis, but it's not what most PMs think they're doing when they buy "Mag7."
Two distinct read-outs, not one.
1. Per-stock Risk DNA. For each Mag7 position, the cascade reads market → sector → subsector → residual. The subsector is the named exposure (FDN, IGV, SMH, XRT, CARZ, RSPT) — the layer where the thesis lives. The residual is what you're being compensated for if the thesis works.
2. Cohort-level diversification math. When the cohort is held as a basket, the residual-layer collapse from 46% to 7% should be visible — that's the warning that "Mag7 ETF" and "concentrated Mag7 positions" are different exposures even though they hold the same seven tickers. The reporting needs to surface that they're different, not paper over it.
Practical implication for a long-only book: if the residual portion of Mag7 is what your thesis is about, don't equal-weight. Concentrate where the thesis is sharpest, let the others be smaller positions or pure-systematic vehicles (SMH, IGV, FDN). If the thesis is just "tech beta," the cohort is the wrong tool — XLK or QQQ is honest about what's being bought; the cohort framing has 8% lower expected residual rent for the same realized factor exposure.
The two-step framing — per-stock DNA + cohort math — is what separates a stock-picking program from a sector-overweight tilt.
Like what you see? Request beta access to run the analyst on your own portfolio, paste a CSV of holdings, and get the same analysis on whatever book you actually trade.
Demo replay
Not a live reply box — scripted preview only. The live analyst is in private beta — request access.
RiskModels is an analytical tool, not an investment adviser. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.